AvoidingTheHerd.com

Contrarian trading on financial news sentiment

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OMXS30 Portfolio

Since May 2nd 2011 we have a depository account at Swedbank, Sweden, that is used only to take positions in OMXS30 futures based on the signals provided by the ATH Sentiment Index.

Start DateInstrumentResult*Buy/Hold**NoTradesAverageStandardDeviation
May 2 2011OMXS3084,9 %6,9 %203,3 %6,0
* Compound interest ** OMXS30 performance

Trades:

Enter DateEnterExit DateInstrumentEnter PriceExit PriceResult
2013-04-19Sell OMXS30 Future Jun 20 20131132,25  
2013-02-15Sell2013-04-19OMXS30 Future Apr 19 201311571148,750,7 %
2012-11-27Sell2013-02-15OMXS30 Future Feb 15 201310761183,5-10,0 %
2012-07-31Sell2012-10-09OMXS30 Future Oct 19 20121070,251079-0,8 %
2012-07-10Buy2012-07-31OMXS30 Future Sep 21 201210291069,53,9 %
2012-07-05Sell2012-07-10OMXS30 Future Sep 21 2012104210291,2 %
2012-06-15Buy2012-07-05OMXS30 Future Aug 17 201298210405,9 %
2012-04-10Buy2012-06-15OMXS30 Future Jun 15 20121006,75978,5-2,8 %
2012-01-24Sell2012-04-10OMXS30 Future Apr 20 2012102310210,2 %
2012-01-17Buy2012-01-24OMXS30 Future Mar 16 20121023,251038,51,5 %
2012-01-12Sell2012-01-17OMXS30 Future Mar 16 20121014,251023,25-0,9 %
2011-12-13Buy2012-01-12OMXS30 Future Feb 17 2012967,510124,6 %
2011-10-27Sell2011-12-13OMXS30 Future Dec 16 20111010,25965,54,4 %
2011-09-14Buy2011-10-27OMXS30 Future Nov 18 2011881,251009,1314,5 %
2011-08-30Sell2011-09-14OMXS30 Future Nov 18 2011937,5881,256,0 %
2011-08-09Buy2011-08-15OMXS30 Future Oct 21 20118909668,5 %
2011-07-25Sell2011-08-09OMXS30 Future Oct 21 20111083,2589017,8 %
2011-07-19Buy2011-07-25OMXS30 Future Oct 21 20111065,51083,251,7 %
2011-07-04Sell2011-07-19OMXS30 Future Sep 16 20111125,510625,6 %
2011-06-21Buy2011-07-04OMXS30 Future Aug 19 20111078,2511244,2 %
2011-05-18Buy2011-05-31OMXS30 Future Aug 19 20111172,51163-0,8 %

SPX500 Portfolio

Starting Aug 21st 2012 we have a U.S. portfolio that will take positions in SPX500 based on the signals provided by the ATH Sentiment Index.

The overall result will be published on this page along with each transaction with date and price.

Trades:

Enter DateEnterExit DateInstrumentEnter PriceExit PriceResult
Aug 21, 2012SellOct 9, 2012SPX500 CFD1421,811454,23-2,3 %
Nov 27, 2012Sell E-Mini S&P 500 March 2013 (ESH3)1395,50  
Up-to-date information is only available to subscribers. Please note that all information on this page is one month old.

Events

Apr 19, 2013
Keeping our position

As our OMXS30 Futures (April) expire today we move our short position to OMXS30 Future (June).

Feb 15, 2013
Keeping our position

As our OMXS30 Futures (Feb) expire today we move our short position to OMXS30 Future (April).

Nov 27, 2012
Sell Signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and take a short position.

Nov 09, 2012
Strategy: Both

"As expected the S&P500 have dropped more than 5% since October 9th and therefore we change our strategy back to Both."

We change our strategy from Sell/Buy to Both. This means that we will take a position the next time the ATH index hits either the upper or lower limit.

Oct 09, 2012
Buy Signal - Closing our position

"We expect the market to fall more than 5% in the upcoming month since the market have not dropped to the extent indicated by the ATH index during September."

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and change our strategy from Both to Sell/Buy.

Aug 21, 2012
Adding a U.S. portfolio

Today we will add a SPX500 position to our new U.S. portfolio. Since the ATH index is above the upper limit we take a short position.

Jul 31, 2012
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Jul 10, 2012
Buy Signal

The ATH Sentiment Index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Jul 05, 2012
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Jun 15, 2012
Keeping our position

As our OMXS30 Futures (June) expire today we move our long position to OMXS30 Future (August).

Apr 10, 2012
Buy signal

The ATH Sentiment Index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Jan 24, 2012
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Jan 17, 2012
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Jan 12, 2012
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Dec 13, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Oct 27, 2011
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Sep 14, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Aug 30, 2011
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we take a short position.

Aug 15, 2011
Close our position

"The recent extreme drop in the ATH index, which triggered a buy signal, was a unique event. Due to our model's limited experience of such events we close our position."

Our strategy is still Both and we will take a position on the next buy or sell signal.

Aug 09, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Jul 25, 2011
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Jul 19, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we close our short position and take a long position.

Jul 04, 2011
Sell signal

The ATH index hits the upper limit and we close our long position and take a short position.

Jun 21, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index hits the lower limit and we take a long position

Jun 18, 2011
Strategy: Both

"Now we have seen a significant downturn since May 31 and therefore change our strategy back to Both."

We change our strategy from Sell/Buy to Both. This means that we will take a position the next time the ATH index hits either the upper or lower limit.

May 31, 2011
Strategy:Sell/Buy

"We expect the market to fall more than 5% in the upcoming month since the market have not dropped to the extent indicated by the ATH index during the second half of May."

We close our position and changes our strategy from Both to Sell/Buy.

May 18, 2011
Buy signal

The ATH index gives a buy signal and we take a long position.

May 02, 2011
Strategy: Both

Starting with strategy Both.